EU leaders are planning to pressure Britain right into a 'arduous Brexit' as they see it as the one strategy to cease copycat referendums throughout the continent.
Senior EU officers are more and more anxious that Brexit and the election of Donald Trump as US President will set off a domino impact and result in populist, far-right candidates sweeping to energy in elections in France and Germany subsequent yr.
Marine Le Pen, the chief of France's far-right Entrance Nationwide, is forward in some polls within the French presidential election subsequent yr.
A senior EU official laid naked the powerful negotiating stance dealing with Theresa Might when formal divorce talks start subsequent yr by warning it will be 'deadly' for Brussels to 'be seen to be giving in to a rustic that's leaving'.
It got here as Nigel Farage warned right this moment it will be 'sport over' for the EU if she is wins the election in Might.
Far-right chief Marine Le Pen, pictured making an attempt on glasses at a commerce truthful in Paris on Friday, is forward in polls for the French presidential election subsequent yr
Later right this moment Les Republicains, the conservative proper of centre occasion that's seen as the most effective guess of stopping Le Pen, whittles down their nominees to a remaining two.
Former prime ministers Alain Juppe and Francois Fillon are battling it out together with former president Nicholas Sarkozy to win the nomination.
As EU leaders plot to save lots of the union, they concern that providing Britain a beneficial deal would encourage different member states to hunt the identical deal by holding their very own referendums.
An EU official instructed The Observer: 'When you British aren't ready to compromise on free motion, the one strategy to cope with Brexit is tough Brexit.
'In any other case we might be seen to be giving in to a rustic that's leaving. That may be deadly.'
European leaders are frightened of Marine Le Pen, pictured in Paris on Friday, profitable France's presidential elections within the spring as she has promised to steer France out of the EU
EU leaders concern Brexit and the election of Donald Trump, pictured in New Jersey yesterday, might set off a domino impact throughout Europe that will result in the tip of the union
Le Pen has already made clear she desires to take France out of the euro - bringing make the beloved franc - and the EU.
Farage stated a win for Le Pen can be a a lot larger political earthquake than Brexit.
He stated: 'She's going to clearly win via to the second spherical. And after what has occurred elsewhere, solely a idiot would say she would don't have any probability of profitable total.
'France is a deeply, deeply sad nation. If she had been to win, it will be sport over for the EU.'
Theresa Might, pictured assembly German Chancellor Angela Merkel on Friday, will probably be given a 'take it or go away it' supply of 'arduous Brexit' by EU, officers warned right this moment
Nigel Farage, pictured assembly Donald Trump in New York final week, warned right this moment it will be 'sport over' for the EU if she is wins the election in Might
Nigel Farage stated a win for Marine Le Pen in subsequent yr's French presidential election can be a a lot larger political earthquake than Brexit
The opposite 27 EU nations are set to inform Britain it has to simply accept freedom of motion or kiss goodbye to free entry to the open market.
They can't afford to look tender as a result of if Britain receives a lovely deal it will encourage different eurosceptics in a number of different nations to decide out, considering they'll get hold of an identical deal with out having to simply accept unfettered immigration and the opposite downsides of being within the EU.
Norbert Röttgen, chairman of the overseas affairs committee within the German parliament, instructed The Observer he wished to assist the UK however added: 'I'm actually prepared to come back to a consequence but when [Britain says] no, no, no, then even I must say that there isn't a frequent floor.'
The shock of Trump making it to the White Home has triggered the jitters in Paris, Berlin and Brussels.
Marine Le Pen, pictured with a mannequin for the 'Made in France' model in Paris on Friday, has already made clear she desires to take France out of the euro - bringing make the beloved franc - and the EU
Later right this moment Les Republicains, the conservative proper of centre occasion that's seen as the most effective guess of stopping Le Pen, whittles down their nominees to a remaining two. Pictured, individuals put together to vote at a polling station in Betton, western France, right this moment
Le Pen will right this moment discover out which two Republicains nominees will go head-to-head of their main election contest subsequent week.
It's not clear if Francois Hollande will stand because the Socialist Occasion candidate, contemplating his dreadful ballot numbers.
However she is going to face outsider Emmanuel Macron, who introduced he's standing as an 'anti-establishment' impartial candidate within the election.
Former French prime minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin stated Le Pen 'can win'.
The Entrance Nationwide was based by her father Jean-Marie and she or he has labored arduous to oust its most overtly racist sections, together with her personal father, whereas nonetheless browsing a wave of Islamophobia brought on by latest terrorist outrages in France.
Race for France's conservative presidential nomination heats up amid fears over the rise of Marine Le Pen and the far-right
Opinion polls have for months urged that far-right Nationwide Entrance chief Marine Le Pen will make it to the decisive run-off in Might
The race for France's conservative presidential nomination appeared tighter than as Les Republicains occasion members started voting on their candidate for subsequent yr's presidential race.
The stakes are excessive - polls counsel that whoever wins the nomination will make all of it the best way to the Elysee Palace, though they may face a troublesome problem to beat off Entrance Nationwide's Marine Le Pen, who's main in line with some polls.
Forward of right this moment's vote, which is able to choose two candidates for the decisive November 27 second spherical, centrist Alain Juppe had misplaced most or all of his early polling lead as his fellow former prime minister Francois Fillon loved a late surge.
After Britain's shock 'Brexit' vote in June and final week's election of Donald Trump as U.S. president, the French election subsequent spring would be the subsequent check of power between weakened mainstream political forces and rising populist insurgents.
Opinion polls have for months urged that far-right Nationwide Entrance chief Marine Le Pen will make it to the decisive run-off in Might, however that Juppe would beat her if he received the conservative Les Republicains nomination.
His lead, nonetheless, has been eroded by two occasion rivals to his proper - ex-president Nicolas Sarkozy and Fillon, who served as Sarkozy's prime minister from 2007-2012.
'I can sense a shock coming,' Fillon instructed supporters at a rally on Friday in Paris. He urged them to 'shake up' the primaries, profitable extensive applause and shouts of 'Fillon for president' from a crowd of over three,00zero.
Lengthy trailing within the polls, Fillon has come from behind previously week, making the race even tougher to name.
He was judged the winner of Thursday's remaining televised debate earlier than the weekend vote, an opinion ballot confirmed.
Anybody can vote within the main, by which there are seven candidates, which opens an already unpredictable contest to tactical participation by left-leaning and far-right voters.
Insecurity in pollsters, who did not predict Trump's win and Britain's vote to stop the European Union, has deepened uncertainty surrounding the conservative and Socialist primaries in addition to the election itself.
However Juppe was assured on Friday that no such upset will occur. 'I'm not Hillary Clinton,' he stated on public radio, 'and France just isn't America'.
Below unpopular President Francois Hollande, France's ruling Socialists are deeply divided and seen as unlikely to get previous the presidential election's first spherical subsequent April. That may clear the best way for whoever clinches the conservative nomination to face Le Pen within the deciding vote.
Far-right chief Marine le Pen, pictured visiting a commerce truthful in Paris on Friday, will right this moment discover out which Republicains candidate she is going to face in subsequent yr's presidential race
Juppe is looking for to attract help from centrists and left-wing voters decided to forestall a Sarkozy comeback or Le Pen's Nationwide Entrance from profitable energy.
Sarkozy, whose marketing campaign has emphasised regulation and order, mocked Juppe at a rally in Nimes, southern France, for being too 'tender'. 'I would be the president who re-establishes the authority of the state,' he stated.
Some market analysts have began taking extra critically the chance Le Pen might grow to be president, an occasion some consider might weaken or break up the European Union and the euro zone.
However polls have persistently proven her falling quick. The electoral system requires her to win over 50 p.c of votes in a second-round run-off, and she or he has persistently polled solely round 30. French pollsters have in latest elections additionally tended to overestimate her attraction fairly than underplay it.
However ought to Sarkozy or Fillon emerge as her conservative opponent, polls and analysts counsel, Le Pen's electoral prospects would enhance.
In a observe after Thursday's TV debate, Charles Lichfield of Eurasia Group gave Le Pen a 25 p.c chance of victory in opposition to Juppe. However her probabilities would leap to 35 p.c in opposition to Sarkozy or Fillon, he stated, reflecting their lack of attraction past the right-wing voters.
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